James Duckworth vs Rio Noguchi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, James Duckworth has secured 48.75% of his second serve points, slightly outperforming Rio Noguchi, who has achieved 47.26%. Does this edge give Duckworth an advantage? Most likely, given its importance in match predictions.
• Examining return game statistics, Duckworth has won 44.06% of points on opponent's second serve compared to Noguchi's 46.31%. Noguchi also has a significant lead in first serve returns at 26.66% versus Duckworth's 20.60%.
• Under pressure, Duckworth has saved a higher percentage of breakpoints at 57.25% whereas Noguchi has saved 52.24%. Will this resilience under pressure benefit Duckworth?
• Over the past year, Duckworth's match win rate is 50.00% compared to Noguchi's slightly superior 53.23%. Does this suggest Noguchi is in better form overall?
• When comparing their best surfaces, Duckworth excels on Clay with a 63% win rate, while Noguchi excels on Grass with the same win percentage. On their least favorable surfaces, Duckworth has a higher win rate (53% on Grass) than Noguchi (41% on Indoor Hard).
• Differentiating by competition level, Duckworth has been competing mostly on the Main tour with a 51.72% win rate, whereas Noguchi has played primarily in Challengers/ITF events with a 55.56% win rate. How might this impact their performance?
• Their head-to-head record shows Duckworth winning their only previous encounter 2-0 in sets. This occurred at the Bengaluru Challenger on a Hard court, with Duckworth clinching the match 7-6(3), 6-1.
• James Duckworth faced opponents with an average rank of 209.67, meanwhile, Rio Noguchi's opponents had an average rank of 247.65 over the past year.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Noguchi has a slight advantage with a 47% win rate in such scenarios compared to Duckworth's 39%.
• Historical and current-event performances are crucial in outcome predictions, though not specified here, current event stats could have added explanatory power.

Editorial Prediction (October 27, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the data reveals subtle yet crucial distinctions between James Duckworth and Rio Noguchi. Duckworth shows greater consistency in second serve performance, a factor that frequently aligns with match outcomes. His ability to save breakpoints more effectively than Noguchi may also serve him well under pressure situations.

While Noguchi has exhibited superior performance in return games, particularly on first serves, his opponents have not consistently ranked as high as Duckworth's. This factor may skew the apparent efficacy of Noguchi's return game slightly in his favor. Additionally, Noguchi's possible edge in deciding sets indicates an ability to close matches, defying trends set by previous encounters.

The head-to-head history gives Duckworth a psychological upper hand, outperforming Noguchi decisively in their lone duel. Meanwhile, both players' prowess on respective surfaces suggests no immediate disadvantage, with their best and worst performances remaining neutral in prediction for this match.

Factoring in these elements, James Duckworth emerges as the slight favorite to win, driven by his past dominance and nuanced strengths in key performance areas.